The 13th China-India talks have not eased tensions between the two sides. The Chinese military previously said that the Indian side insisted on “unreasonable and unrealistic demands”, adding to the difficulties of the negotiations.
A Chinese military microblogger who has long been concerned about the situation on the Sino-Indian border, “Listen to the Wind by Sweet Water Sea”, recently speculated that the 13th round of Sino-Indian border talks collapsed over the issue of Jianandaban. India offered to let the Chinese side retreat to the Galwan security base at the mouth of the Jiachakou, and they retreated to alpha3 at the mouth of the Kugrung River.
According to “Listen to the Wind by Sweet Water Sea”, India’s request is tantamount to asking the Chinese side to tear down the Jianandaban outpost established at Xichagou and lose the barrier protecting the flanks of the Galwan Valley. In 1962, India invaded the Chinese side of the Galwan River valley through Jianandaban and illegally set up a post at Jiachakou, which was later demolished during the Sino-Indian border war.
According to the results of the 12th round of army chief talks previously reported by the Indian Express. The two sides had an agreement to disengage in Gogra, which India calls PP17A, and to establish a buffer zone on the February model. But the Chinese side is “not inclined” to withdraw from PP15 or the Hot Spring area. It is known that what the Indians call Gogra is the Chinese outpost of Hot Spring, the Hot Spring area is Kongka, and PP15 is Jianandaban. So the translation is that the example of Galwan disengagement will be followed for Hot Spring (both sides have already conducted a de-escalation here in July 2020, reducing the strength to a platoon), while the Chinese side will not make concessions at Kongka and Jianandaban.
Some commentators believe that the dramatic change in Indian attitudes within two months was spurred by the recent intensification of U.S. maneuvering in the “Indo-Pacific” strategy. On September 25, Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi held a bilateral meeting with US President Joe Biden during his trip to Washington to attend the four-nation security mechanism summit. The two sides declared that they would strengthen the U.S.-India defense partnership, with the U.S. side calling India a “key defense partner.” Last Friday, two days before the current round of India-China military ministerial talks, the 16th U.S.-India Defense Policy Group meeting was held to finalize the U.S.-India “2+2” talks to be held within the year.
And recently revealed photos of Chinese troops on the front line show Chinese soldiers standing by with long hilt broadswords in their hands, and assault rifles and bazookas on their backs.
Chinese military fans suggest that before the Taiwan issue is resolved, India can be defeated in one fell swoop when the negotiations broke down.
